Power generation. Thermal power  N/A



Load forecast for Nouakchott and Nouadhibou power systems for the year 2000-2005 and impacts on the generation plan

Country : Mauritania. .
Client : SONELEC .
Start Date : 1996
Completion Date : 1996
Value of services : 165 000 FF.
Funder : Caisse Française de Développement .
Associate/Partner : N/A
Description :
There is a strong demographic growth in Mauritania, with total population having increased from 4 000 in 1958 to 700 000 in 1995. In this context, SONELEC is concerned that the capacity of the Nouvelle Centrale (commissioned in 1989) may not be sufficient to meet requirements in the capital city of the country. Contracted by SONELEC to undertake a short and medium term load forecast and make recommendations on generation capacity strengthening, IED applied the most analytical model possible: sector analysis, establishment of the various consumption profiles, historical and current explanatory factors, investment analysis. The analysis confirmed a probable annual growth in demand of 10% over the coming five years and an average of 8% over the next 10 years.
The scope of the load forecast for Nouadhibou similar to Nouakchott's study case.
Description of the Actual Services Provided Nouakchott
The strategy proposed by IED consists in immediate strengthening of the local thermal power plant, limiting capacity addition strictly to incremental demand prior to interconnection with the inter State OMVS grid planned for the year 2002.
IED conducted additional investigations on industrial sites and the urban center, over and above the suburban areas, which were the specific focus of the study. Similar conclusions were drawn for the two cities, in terms of demand trends and capacity strengthening. Power demand in the industry is also increasing. The first level of capacity strengthening recommended by IED includes rising demand from the fisheries sector; meeting demand of the metallurgical sector implies a load management approach.